Five rules that catch 92% of ghost farmers.
Duplicate phones, duplicate national IDs, uncontacted >60 days, distribution outside the programme window, and suspicious concentration. The math, the false-positive rate, and how we tune it per programme.
What we're learning from 48,200 farmers, 14 districts, and four pillars of digital infrastructure — published openly because audit-grade reporting starts with audit-grade methodology.
Featured insight · Q1 2026
Survival rate is the most-quoted, least-defined number in agroforestry reporting. We split it into three: overall survival (surviving / distributed), survey coverage (% of seedlings actually checked), and of-the-surveyed survival (the optimistic number).
The headline on every Nurseryz.io dashboard is overall — the conservative funder number. Coverage is surfaced as the qualifier. This paper explains why most "97% survival" claims in donor reports fail audit, and how our gates align with Gold Standard and Plan Vivo.
Read carbon methodology →Recent
Methodology updates, district case studies, and what our data is teaching us.
Duplicate phones, duplicate national IDs, uncontacted >60 days, distribution outside the programme window, and suspicious concentration. The math, the false-positive rate, and how we tune it per programme.
WhatsApp is faster, smartphones are everywhere — except they aren't, not in the Lango villages we work with. A breakdown of feature-phone penetration vs. WhatsApp coverage by district.
A field-officer-led incident review. Drought triggered a survival cliff; SMS advisory wasn't enough; what we changed in the cohort to recover 8pts in the next month.
Uganda's Data Protection & Privacy Act is 6 years old and most agri platforms aren't aligned. Our checklist, our gaps, and what we ship to close them by the end of FY26.
Coverage, photo evidence, GPS. Each has a threshold; each has a verification path. What "pending" really means on our funder dashboard and how programmes move to "eligible".
An aside for the technically curious: our SVG-based heatmap renders inside dompdf-generated reports because Chart.js can't survive a PDF pipeline. What we lost, what we gained.
We publish one piece a month — methodology, field notes, or engineering. No marketing fluff. Funders, NGOs and researchers read it.